The Callisto tanker remains anchored while traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains minimal amidst escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran in Muscat, Oman, March 10, 2026. — Reuters
The White House announced Tuesday that the US military has not conducted any escort operations for commercial ships traveling through the Strait of Hormuz, following reports that were later retracted. Earlier, US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright shared on X that the US Navy had successfully guided an oil tanker through this critical waterway, but he later deleted the post for reasons unknown.
The ongoing conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran has already disrupted shipments traversing the Strait along Iran’s coastline. This area typically handles about 20% of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas, but now many Middle Eastern oil producers have exhausted their storage capacities and halted production.
On March 3, President Donald Trump pledged that the US would shield oil tankers passing through the Strait. The Pentagon followed this by reiterating threats to strike Iran more forcefully unless shipping routes are reopened, stating it targeted Iranian mine-laying vessels and storage facilities.
Wright initially tweeted that the US Navy had escorted an oil tanker to keep oil supplies flowing globally but later removed the message, with unclear reasons for the deletion.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt clarified that no oil tankers or vessels have been escorted through the Strait of Hormuz yet. Meanwhile, an Iranian Revolutionary Guards spokesperson dismissed Wright’s claims, warning that any US or allied movement in the area would be blocked by Iran’s missiles and drones.
Earlier on Tuesday, the top US military officer indicated that the military is exploring options to escort ships through the Strait if ordered. General Dan Caine told reporters at the Pentagon, “We’re considering a range of potential actions.”
Australia’s Qantas Airways, Scandinavian Airlines (SAS), and Air New Zealand have announced fare increases on Tuesday, attributing the rise to a sudden surge in fuel costs driven by the ongoing Middle East conflict.
Jet fuel prices, which hovered around $85 to $90 per barrel before U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, have skyrocketed to between $150 and $200 per barrel in recent days, according to Air New Zealand, which also announced it would suspend its financial forecast for 2026 due to the uncertainty surrounding the conflict.
The warfare has disrupted shipping along one of the world’s most critical oil export routes, causing a sharp increase in oil prices. This upheaval has impacted global travel, with airline tickets on some routes reaching unprecedented levels and concerns mounting about a prolonged slump in travel demand that could lead to widespread flight cancellations.
“Increases of this size necessitate a response to maintain stable and dependable operations,” an SAS representative told Reuters, noting the airline has implemented a “temporary price adjustment.” Last year, SAS temporarily modified its fuel hedging policy due to market volatility, with no fuel hedged for the upcoming 12 months.
While several Asian and European carriers, such as Lufthansa and Ryanair, have hedged part of their fuel needs at fixed prices, Finnair cautioned that fuel availability could become problematic if the conflict persists. Kuwait, a significant exporter of jet fuel to northwestern Europe, has reported production cuts.
“A prolonged crisis could influence not only the price but also the availability of fuel, at least for a period,” a Finnair spokesperson stated, adding that the airline had hedged over 80% of its fuel needs for the first quarter, though the situation remains fluid.
### Airspace Disruptions in the Middle East
Highlighting ongoing airspace chaos, flights arriving in Dubai were briefly held in a holding pattern Tuesday due to potential missile threats, according to flight tracking service Flightradar24 on X. The aircraft eventually landed safely.
Qantas mentioned that, along with raising international fares, it is considering redeploying capacity to Europe as airlines and travelers seek to avoid Middle Eastern disruption, where drone and missile fire have curtailed flight operations.
Fares on Asia-Europe routes have surged because of airspace closures and capacity constraints. Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific announced it would add additional flights to London and Zurich in March.
Air New Zealand reported increases in domestic and international fares, raising one-way economy prices by NZ$10 ($6) domestically, NZ$20 on short-haul international flights, and NZ$90 on long-haul routes. More adjustments could follow if fuel costs remain high.
Hong Kong Airlines announced it would hike fuel surcharges by up to 35.2% starting Thursday, with the steepest increases on flights connecting Hong Kong with the Maldives, Bangladesh, and Nepal.
### Market Reactions and Oil Prices
Some airline stocks gained momentum, and oil prices fell to about $90 per barrel on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump suggested the conflict might conclude soon, easing some investor concerns. European airline stocks rose between 4% and 7% as markets opened, while Asian carriers showed signs of recovery, with Qantas up 0.5%, Korean Air Lines up 3%, and Cathay Pacific up 3.6%, following Monday’s sharp declines.
Fuel costs are a major expense for airlines, typically comprising 20% to 25% of operating costs, making the fluctuation in oil prices highly impactful.
### Reduced Airspace and Industry Challenges
Beyond rising fuel prices, restricted airspace due to the conflict is further threatening the aviation industry. Airlines are rerouting to avoid Middle Eastern conflict zones, leading to increased congestion on key routes.
Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad together account for roughly one-third of passenger traffic between Europe and Asia and operate over half of all flights connecting Europe to Australia, New Zealand, and Pacific Islands, according to Cirium.
European carriers, already strained by restrictions caused by the Ukraine war—such as avoiding Russian airspace and flying longer routes—are now facing additional hurdles as available airspace diminishes, complicating their operations further.
Numerous fatalities have occurred throughout the Middle East since the United States and Israel launched an attack on Iran on February 28. Gulf nations with U.S. military presence, along with Lebanon, quickly found themselves embroiled in the conflict.
Here’s a breakdown of the reported death tolls from various countries as of March 9, over a week after the conflict began. Note that Reuters has not confirmed these figures independently.
Iran reports at least 1,230 deaths, including 175 schoolgirls and staff killed during a missile strike on a primary school in Minab, in the southern part of the country, on the war’s first day. It remains unclear if these totals include casualties among the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. The Iranian military states that 104 individuals died last week after a U.S. submarine sank an Iranian warship near Sri Lanka; these casualties are not part of the Red Crescent’s count.
Israel’s military reports two soldiers killed in southern Lebanon, marking the first casualties among its troops since hostilities with Hezbollah reignited last week following an attack by the group in support of Iran. Additionally, eleven civilians have perished, including nine in an Iranian missile attack on Beit Shemesh near Jerusalem on March 1.
The U.S. military confirms seven service members have been killed while conducting operations against Iran.
Lebanon has seen at least 394 fatalities, including 83 children, according to its health ministry, mostly resulting from Israeli airstrikes.
In Saudi Arabia, two individuals lost their lives when a projectile struck a residential area in Al-Kharj, southeast of Riyadh.
Bahrain reports one death following a fire at Salman Industrial City after a missile interception on March 2.
Kuwait has acknowledged the death of a child due to Iranian attacks, along with two police officers and two military personnel who died in the line of duty, as per government sources.
Oman reports one person killed after a projectile hit the tanker MKD VYOM off Muscat’s coast.
The United Arab Emirates has registered four fatalities, according to its defense ministry.
Syria reports four casualties from an Iranian missile strike on a building in Sweida on February 28.
Iraq has experienced at least 15 deaths, with reports indicating that an Iranian-backed armed group commander was killed in an airstrike on March 5.
This ongoing conflict shows a significant loss of life across multiple nations, highlighting its expanding regional impact.
The initial week of the U.S. military operations against Iran has resulted in an expenditure of approximately $6 billion, with about $4 billion allocated to munitions and advanced missile interceptors. Pentagon officials informed Congress that additional funding will likely be necessary to maintain ongoing operations and restock supplies. These financial details emerged during congressional hearings held earlier this week.
A report from The New York Times indicates that around 4,000 Iranian targets have been hit, including missile launchers, naval vessels, and air defense systems, significantly impairing Tehran’s capacity to retaliate. General Brad Cooper, commander of U.S. Central Command, noted that Iran’s ballistic missile launches have decreased by nearly 90% since the conflict began, while drone attacks have fallen by about 83%. Nonetheless, he emphasized that Iran still possesses substantial military strength, including roughly half of its missile inventory.
In Washington, lawmakers are gearing up for a potential request from the Biden administration for supplementary funding in the coming weeks, amid rising scrutiny from both Democrats and Republicans over the rapid pace of spending. Critics warn that costly interceptor missiles—some priced in the millions per unit—are being deployed so frequently that they could strain the U.S. defense industrial base and cause shortages in other strategic regions.
The conflict was triggered on February 28 when the U.S. and Israel carried out extensive strikes on Iran, reportedly resulting in over 1,200 casualties, including Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and numerous senior military officials. Iran has responded with missile and drone attacks directed at Gulf nations, U.S. military bases, diplomatic sites, and military personnel across the region, as well as multiple Israeli cities.
This heightened tension has also raised concerns about global energy supplies, especially as maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz—an essential route that moves about 20 million barrels of oil daily—has significantly declined.
Smoke rises over the city amid heightened tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on March 5, 2026. — Reuters
Iran was warned about potential retaliation, according to sources.
The Saudi foreign minister had a direct conversation with his Iranian counterpart.
Iran’s president issued an apology to Gulf states for recent actions.
Saudi Arabia has informed Tehran that, although it favors diplomacy to resolve the conflict with the United States, ongoing assaults on the kingdom’s territory and energy infrastructure could force Riyadh to respond militarily. The warning was issued prior to a speech on Saturday by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, in which he apologized to neighboring Gulf nations for Tehran’s recent strikes that targeted civilians, seemingly aiming to ease regional outrage.
Two days earlier, Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan clarified Riyadh’s stance during a call with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, emphasizing Saudi Arabia’s openness to mediation and negotiations. He also stressed that neither Saudi nor other Gulf states had permitted US forces to use their airspace or land for strikes against Iran.
However, Prince Faisal reportedly warned that if Iran’s attacks on Saudi territory or energy facilities persisted, Riyadh would be compelled to allow US forces to operate from its bases, and might retaliate against continued assaults on critical infrastructure.
Sources mentioned that Riyadh has maintained ongoing communication with Tehran through its ambassador since the U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iran began on February 28, following failed negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program. Neither the Saudi nor Iranian foreign ministries responded to requests for comments.
Drone and missile assaults target Gulf nations
Over the past week, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia have all experienced intense drone and missile attacks originating from Iran. In the wake of escalating conflict, Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was reportedly killed on the first day of the conflict. Tehran responded with strikes against Israel and Gulf Arab states hosting U.S. military bases, while Israel targeted Iran-backed Hezbollah forces in Lebanon.
In an interview Saturday, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi stated he remains in constant contact with his Saudi counterparts and assured Tehran’s commitment to prevent its territory, waters, or airspace from being used for attacks on Iran.
President Pezeshkian announced that Iran’s temporary leadership had authorized a suspension of strikes against neighboring countries unless those nations attacked Iran first. He personally apologized to affected Gulf nations for Iran’s recent actions, though it remains uncertain whether this signals a permanent shift. Despite this, reports indicate Iran continued strikes on Saturday.
Adding to internal divisions, the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters — Iran’s unified military command — declared in a statement that U.S. and Israeli military targets throughout the region would remain high-priority targets. While Iran’s armed forces have so far respected regional sovereignty, they stated that they would direct powerful strikes against U.S. and Israeli assets located on land, at sea, and in the air.
U.S. President Donald Trump claimed via social media that Iran had “apologized and surrendered” and promised no further aggression — a statement he suggested was driven by relentless U.S. and Israeli pressure.
Iranian sources confirmed a call had taken place in which Riyadh warned Tehran to stop attacks on Saudi Arabia and neighboring Gulf states. Tehran reiterated that its assaults targeted U.S. interests and military bases, not Gulf nations themselves. Some Iranian officials have demanded that U.S. bases across the region be closed and that Gulf states halt intelligence sharing, which Tehran suspects is used to coordinate attacks. Meanwhile, some military commanders argue that strikes should continue, accusing the U.S. of using regional bases and airspaces to conduct operations against Iran.
Despite previous efforts to foster regional diplomacy, Iran’s recent missile and drone campaigns—led by the Revolutionary Guards—have shattered those initiatives, leading to increased regional instability.
A second phase of Israel’s operations in Iran is underway, focusing on attacking underground ballistic missile facilities and related equipment, according to two military source familiar with the campaign. The first week of joint Israeli and U.S. strikes has targeted above-ground Iranian missile launchers capable of striking Israeli cities. The upcoming phase involves penetrating deep underground bunkers used for storing missiles and military gear.
One source indicated Israel’s goal is to disable Iran’s capacity to carry out aerial attacks by the war’s end while also targeting the country’s leadership. The Israeli military has not publicly confirmed plans to strike underground facilities but previously claimed control over much of Iran’s airspace during early attacks.
Recently, the military announced overnight airstrikes on a subterranean site used by Iran to store ballistic missiles and related missile storage facilities. It’s the first time Israel has publicly acknowledged targeting underground missile infrastructure since the joint U.S.-Israeli campaign began Saturday.
Iran’s missile stockpile estimates vary significantly—ranging from about 2,500 to as many as 6,000 missiles, depending on the source. The remaining stockpiles’ size could greatly influence how the conflict unfolds, as Iran continues launching missiles at Israel and other regional targets.
Strategic analysts, including Douglas Barrie from the UK’s International Institute for Strategic Studies, noted that Iran still possesses some land-attack cruise missiles and precision-guided low-flying weapons designed to evade radar detection.
Since Saturday, Israeli air operations have been extensive, intensifying after Hezbollah in Lebanon launched rockets at Israel, prompting substantial Israeli strikes as far north as Beirut. In some cases, Israeli jets have struck both Iran and Lebanon in one sortie—targeting Tehran and western Iran before returning to strike Hezbollah positions, according to sources with knowledge of the plans.
Since the start of the attacks, launches of ballistic missiles and drones from Iran have declined, a trend attributed partly to Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iranian launch sites and military infrastructure. Israel suggests Iran may also be holding back to conserve missile stocks for prolonged conflict.
Eran Lerman, a former Israeli deputy national security adviser, expressed that early expectations were for Iran’s regime to begin collapsing quickly following initial strikes. However, this has not yet happened, and he emphasized the need to further degrade Iran’s military and leadership capabilities.
Members of the Reuters Gulf team, like many others in the region, have been forced into sheltering in stairwells and windowless bathrooms. We’ve listened to missiles being intercepted overhead while trying to comfort scared children and handle growing concerns from afar.
We now pay closer attention to potential dangers—how a window might shatter, where to find scarce supplies like chicken or bananas, and how every minor sound, even a neighbor closing a cabinet, can make our hearts race.
In a region with increasingly dangerous airspace closures and where the only safe escape is a long desert drive through territory under Iranian attack, we all face the same impossible decisions: to stay or to leave, and how to do so.
Federico Maccioni, part of Reuters’ finance team based in Dubai, remarked that he’s beginning to sense some doubts about what lies ahead for the city. Meanwhile, Rachna Uppal, the agency’s chief economics correspondent in Abu Dhabi, noted how life remains remarkably normal—people are shopping, going to dental appointments, and even jet skiing.
Reporters across the Gulf are trying to piece everything together. Iran’s drones continue relentless strikes, penetrating defenses and targeting airports, hotels, and data centers. Tourism is collapsing, business centers are frozen, and the Gulf’s decades-long development efforts now seem uncertain. This overview examines the economic impact, strategic risks, and potential lasting changes caused by this conflict.
Gulf fundamentals
The Gulf’s growth over the years stood on two main beliefs: its cities provided a safe refuge in a turbulent region, and its vast wealth from continuous energy exports would keep flowing. Recent events threaten to dismantle both assumptions, possibly forever.
First, the idea of the Gulf as a safe haven has been shattered. Dubai, seen as an oasis of stability, was built on the premise that regional chaos would end at its borders. But weeks of Iranian missile and drone attacks on key points like airports and ports have exposed that illusion.
While Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed of the UAE tried to project normality strolling through Dubai Mall, outside, flights were canceled, markets closed, and residents queued anxiously for supplies. The constant barrage of air defense interceptions has added to the fear, raising questions about whether cities like Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Riyadh—dependent on confidence, ease of movement, and perception—can sustain their reputation as premium destinations when visibly vulnerable.
Economic fragility and ripple effects
The second, deeper crisis stems from economic disruption. Closing the Strait of Hormuz and halting QatarEnergy’s massive LNG operations—responsible for a fifth of global LNG—have triggered an unthinkable supply shock.
Iraq has cut back oil production; Saudi Arabia is adjusting its crude shipments; and hundreds of tankers remain idling near Fujairah—still smoldering after an attack—unable to pass safely. Prices for oil, natural gas, and related commodities have surged.
The Gulf’s capacity to fund diversification, major investments, and maintain its generous social contracts depends heavily on stable energy exports. That foundation is now under threat, with some damages permanent.
What’s next?
This conflict has exposed a broader uncertainty: what will the future relationship between the Arab Gulf and Iran look like after this? After years of tentative diplomacy, the Gulf states had started to recalibrate ties with Iran, recognizing mutual interests and geography. That fragile trust has now been shattered.
Iran’s widespread missile and drone assaults have erased the political space previously available for dialogue. As Gulf capitals confront this new reality, they face a tough question: can they ever trust Iran again, or is this the beginning of a prolonged hostile freeze?
The consequences are significant. The Gulf’s economic model, energy security, and regional diplomacy—constants for years—have been shaken. Even if active fighting ceases soon, this may mark the end of the era where engagement with Iran was considered manageable. A more cautious, security-focused Gulf is likely to emerge.
Despite pledges to end U.S. involvement in costly and destructive foreign conflicts, President Donald Trump, alongside Israel, has initiated a significant military strike against Iran, aiming at its leadership and its nuclear and missile capabilities.
Since the September 11, 2001 attacks on New York and Washington, D.C., the U.S. has been involved in three full-scale wars and has conducted bombing operations in at least ten countries. These actions have ranged from large invasions to precise airstrikes and drone missions, often spanning multiple years.
Immediately following 9/11, then-President George W. Bush announced a “war on terror,” launching a worldwide military campaign that drastically altered U.S. foreign policy. The conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq were succeeded by military operations in Pakistan, Syria, Yemen, and other regions, as successive administrations continued or intensified counterterrorism efforts.
Research by Brown University’s Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs estimates that U.S.-led wars since 2001 have resulted in roughly 940,000 direct deaths across Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and other conflict zones, according to Al Jazeera. This number does not account for indirect fatalities caused by displacement, infrastructure destruction, limited healthcare access, and food shortages.
The report also indicates that the United States has spent approximately $5.8 trillion on post-9/11 military actions. This includes $2.1 trillion allocated by the Department of Defense, $1.1 trillion by the Department of Homeland Security, $884 billion added to the Pentagon’s base budget, $465 billion for veterans’ healthcare, and nearly $1 trillion in interest on war-related borrowing.
Looking ahead, the U.S. is projected to spend at least another $2.2 trillion on veterans’ care over the next 30 years, bringing the total estimated cost of these post-2001 conflicts to nearly $8 trillion.
The United Arab Emirates announced that it will not permit its airspace or land to be utilized for any attacks against Iran. During a media briefing in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday, officials outlined various security, economic, and humanitarian measures. Reem Al Hashimy, Minister of State for International Cooperation, emphasized the country’s stance as clear and cautious. “The UAE will not allow its airspace or territory to be used in any assault on Iran,” she stated. She also mentioned that the UAE retains the right to defend its sovereignty and ensure the safety of its citizens, residents, and visitors.
Al Hashimy characterized Iran’s ballistic missile program as a regional threat and underscored that the security of Gulf nations is interconnected. She added that there is no military resolution to the ongoing crisis and warned that further escalation could destabilize the region more. The UAE has responded to recent Iranian attacks by closing its embassy in Tehran and withdrawing its ambassador.
Major General Abdul Nasser Al Humaidi, the defense ministry spokesperson, affirmed that the UAE would never accept threats to its sovereignty or security. He explained the recent sounds heard across the country as missile interceptions and confirmed that the armed forces remain highly prepared. The UAE has substantial strategic reserves capable of countering aerial threats for an extended period.
On the economic side, Abdulla bin Touq, Minister of Economy and Tourism, stated that the nation has enough strategic reserves of essential food and goods to last four to six months. “There’s no risk of shortages,” he assured, noting that authorities are monitoring markets closely to prevent unnecessary price hikes. Residents were advised to avoid panic buying and stockpiling. Bin Touq also announced that approximately 80 flights per day are operating to facilitate travel for those leaving the country.
The National Emergency Crisis and Disaster Management Authority (NCEMA) reported that daily life continues normally across the UAE, with all critical services functioning smoothly.
Flights at Dubai International Airport’s Terminal 3 are now operating on a limited schedule, resuming Monday evening after being canceled for three days due to Iran’s military strikes in the Gulf region. These attacks targeted various Gulf airports, disrupting airspace and resulting in extensive ground stop procedures. The closures, which impacted Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha, and other major regional hubs, marked one of the most significant aviation interruptions in recent years.
Dubai Airports confirmed that a reduced number of flights would start flying again from both Dubai International and Dubai World Central — Al Maktoum International — later that evening. Emirates and flydubai announced plans to resume some flights, prioritizing passengers with existing reservations, and those affected would be contacted directly. All other scheduled flights remain suspended until further notice, and travelers are advised not to head to the airports unless they receive official confirmation.
Meanwhile, Etihad Airways, operating out of Abu Dhabi, stated that it would restart flights on Tuesday. Iran’s recent bombardment has affected military sites and civilian infrastructure, including residential areas, hotels, airports, and seaports, intensifying instability across the region. The recent attacks followed reports of the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, after which the Gulf experienced heightened tensions and ongoing airspace restrictions.
The disruption extended into a third consecutive day, prompting widespread concern about regional stability and prolonging the shutdown of vital air traffic routes. The UAE government announced a temporary and partial closure of its airspace as a safeguard measure amidst escalating hostilities. Dubai’s international airport, ranked as the second-busiest worldwide, plays a crucial role in the local economy, generating roughly one-third of the emirate’s revenue. The ongoing airspace restrictions threaten to have long-term repercussions on regional commerce and travel.
A cloud of smoke ascends following a reported explosion in Tehran on February 28, 2026. — AFP
Israel and the United States carried out airstrikes on Iran Saturday, reigniting military tensions across the Middle East. President Donald Trump committed to dismantling Tehran’s missile program and thwarting its nuclear development efforts.
International responses to these events include:
Russia’s Security Council Deputy Chairman
“Once again, the peacemaker has revealed his true face,” stated Medvedev, a former Russian president. “All negotiations with Iran are merely a façade. No one truly expected or intended to negotiate genuinely.”
He also remarked, “The real question is who has more patience — the U.S., barely 249 years old, or the Persian Empire, which dates back more than 2,500 years. Let’s see what the future holds in a century.”
Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam
“I want to reaffirm that we will not accept anyone dragging Lebanon into dangerous conflicts that threaten its security and unity.”
Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide
“The operation, described by Israel as preventative, does not comply with international law, which requires an imminent threat for such preemptive strikes.”
US PresidentDonald Trump pumps his fist after disembarking Air Force One at Palm Beach International Airport in West Palm Beach, Florida, US, February 27, 2026. — Reuters
Fighting persists as Pakistan and Afghanistan engage in “open war”.
Trump emphasizes having “very good relations” with Pakistan.
The president states he holds deep respect for Prime Minister Shehbaz and Chief of Defense Munir.
Amid ongoing border clashes between Pakistan and Afghanistan, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Washington will not intervene in the escalating conflict between Islamabad and Kabul.
While he mentioned the possibility of stepping in, Trump highlighted the strong relations he maintains with Pakistan.
He praised Pakistan’s Prime Minister and military leader, expressing significant respect for both.
Hostilities intensified after Pakistan responded forcefully to unprovoked assaults by the Taliban regime across various sectors in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, including Chitral, Khyber, Mohmand, Kurram, and Bajaur, on Thursday night.
In their retaliatory operation, named Operation Ghazab lil-Haq (Righteous Fury), Pakistani forces targeted and destroyed multiple Taliban positions. The Pakistani Air Force conducted strikes in Kandahar, Kabul, and Paktia, inflicting heavy losses on Afghan forces.
Reports indicate that 12 Pakistani security personnel lost their lives, with 27 injured. Pakistani authorities estimate that around 331 Taliban fighters have been killed so far.
Trump, known for proclaiming an end to numerous global conflicts, stated on Friday that the U.S. will not participate in the current fight when asked about potential intervention.
He reiterated his good ties with Pakistan, praising its leadership, including the Prime Minister and military generals.
“I could get involved, but I get along with Pakistan very well—very, very well,” he told journalists. “You have a great Prime Minister, a strong General, and a leader I deeply respect.”
He also indicated that Pakistan is making significant progress, suggesting that U.S. plans do not include interference.
U.S. supports Pakistan’s right to defend itself
The United States affirmed its support for Pakistan’s right to self-defense following Islamabad’s declaration that the two nations are in “open war.”
Afghanistan’s government expressed willingness to negotiate after Pakistan launched strikes in key cities, targeting militants linked to recent attacks.
“The United States stands by Pakistan’s right to defend itself against attacks from Taliban groups designated as global terrorists,” said a State Department spokesperson via email.
The spokesperson noted concern over rising tensions and the outbreak of battles between Pakistani forces and the Afghan Taliban, emphasizing regret over the loss of lives.
“The Taliban have repeatedly failed to meet counterterrorism commitments,” they added, emphasizing that Afghanistan continues to serve as a base for terrorist operations.
The recent spike in hostilities follows Pakistan’s counterattacks after Taliban-backed militants carried out suicide bombings in Islamabad, Bajaur, and Bannu, all traced back to Afghanistan-based groups.
Islamabad has urged Kabul to prevent its territory from being used by terrorists and conducted precise strikes against seven Taliban and Daesh-Khorasan camps along the border last week.
According to Prime Minister’s Foreign Media spokesperson, Mosharraf Zaidi, the Afghan Taliban has allowed militants to operate from their territory, which he claims breaches the Doha Agreement commitments.
The ceasefire between the two countries was first agreed upon in October 2025 after unprovoked shooting at border crossings, with subsequent efforts mediated by Qatar and Turkey, aimed at stopping Afghan-origin terrorism in Pakistan.
Despite these agreements, continued tensions have arisen from unmet commitments, with Kabul using regional talks to criticize Pakistan instead of addressing the core issue of terrorism emanating from Afghan soil.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi speaks during a press conference in Istanbul, Turkey, October 19, 2024. — Reuters
Tehran states it will defend itself against US actions.
Araghchi anticipates renewed Iran-US discussions in Geneva.
Tehran prepares a draft agreement to prevent conflict.
PARIS: Iran’s top diplomat declared Sunday that his country would retaliate against U.S. interests in the Middle East if attacked, yet he maintained there remains hope for a diplomatic solution.
In an interview with CBS, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said new negotiations are likely to take place on Thursday, amid increasing fears of conflict following a significant U.S. military deployment to the region.
The United States has increased its military presence with two aircraft carriers, additional jets, ships, and enhanced regional air defenses, heightening tensions after recent threats of military intervention. This comes amid a crackdown on nationwide protests and rights groups’ reports of thousands of deaths.
“If the U.S. attacks us, we have every right to defend ourselves,” Araghchi stated, referencing U.S. regional interests as potential targets.
Despite this, he expressed optimism, saying, “There’s a good chance for a diplomatic resolution.”
Following recent talks in Geneva, Iran is working on a draft proposal aimed at avoiding military conflict.
“I believe that when we meet again, probably this Thursday in Geneva, we can work through those points, produce a solid text, and reach an agreement quickly,” Araghchi told CBS.
Earlier reports from Axios, citing an unnamed senior US official, indicated that if Iran submits its proposal within 48 hours, Washington is prepared to resume detailed negotiations later this week.
The U.S. has intensified its military readiness in the Middle East, with the deployment of two aircraft carriers and additional armed forces, coupled with strengthened air defenses, as part of its strategic posture.
U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, in an interview with Fox News, questioned why Iran has not yet yielded to U.S. pressure.
“The President is wondering why they haven’t… I don’t want to say ‘capitulated,’ but why haven’t they capitulated?” he questioned.
“Given the military presence and naval strength deployed, why haven’t they come to us, saying, ‘We don’t want weapons, and here’s what we’re willing to do?’”
Western nations worry Iran’s nuclear program might be intended for weapon development, a claim Tehran has long denied, asserting its right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes.
Regarding uranium enrichment, Araghchi stated: “As a sovereign nation, we have the right to decide independently.”
Fears of Conflict
Diplomacy last year was halted following Israel’s bombing campaign against Iran, which triggered a 12-day conflict in June, involving U.S. strikes on nuclear sites.
Despite recent Oman-mediated talks, anxieties about another outbreak of conflict persist among Iranians.
“I don’t sleep well at night, even taking medication,” said Tehran resident Hamid, expressing concern for his family’s well-being.
Mina Ahmadvand, 46, an IT technician, believes war between Iran, the U.S., and Israel is inevitable and has prepared for that possibility.
“I don’t want war, but you can’t ignore what’s happening on the ground,” she explained.
Several countries, including Sweden, Serbia, Poland, and Australia, have advised their citizens to leave Iran, noting that commercial flights remain available but could change rapidly.
An Iranian newspaper features a cover photo of U.S. President Donald Trump in Tehran on February 17, 2026. — Reuters
WASHINGTON: President Donald Trump has pushed the U.S. closer to potential conflict with Iran, even as advisors caution him to prioritize voters’ economic concerns. This highlights the political risks associated with military escalation ahead of this year’s midterm elections.
Trump has ordered a significant buildup of forces in the Middle East and preparations for a possible multi-week aerial strike on Iran. However, he has not publicly explained why he might be leading the country into its most aggressive action against Iran since the 1979 revolution.
His focus on Iran exemplifies how foreign policy, including expanded military use, has dominated his second term’s first 13 months — often taking precedence over domestic issues like inflation and living costs, which polls show are more urgent for most Americans.
A senior White House official mentioned that, despite Trump’s tough rhetoric, there is no unified support within the administration for an attack on Iran.
His team is also aware of the importance of not sending a “distracted message” to undecided voters more concerned with the economy, the official told Reuters on condition of anonymity because they are not authorized to speak publicly.
White House advisers and Republican campaign officials stress that Trump should concentrate on the economy, especially as a private briefing this week emphasized economic issues as the top campaign priority, attended by many cabinet secretaries but without Trump present.
Another White House official, responding to Reuters questions about this story, claimed that Trump’s foreign policy efforts have “directly translated into wins for the American people.” The official added, “All of the President’s actions are America First—whether it’s making the world safer or delivering economic benefits back home.”
The November elections will determine whether Trump’s Republican Party retains control of both chambers of Congress. Losing one or both would challenge his ability to govern in his final years in office.
Rob Godfrey, a Republican strategist, warned that a prolonged conflict with Iran could be politically risky for Trump and the GOP.
“The president needs to remember the base that helped him secure the Republican nomination three times—many of whom are skeptical of foreign military involvement because ending endless war was a key campaign promise,” Godfrey explained.
Republicans plan to campaign primarily on recent tax cuts and efforts to lower housing costs and prescription drug prices.
A More Challenging Enemy than Venezuela
Despite some dissent, many supporters of Trump’s “Make America Great Again” movement backed the quick operation that ousted Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro last month.
However, he might face more resistance if he pushes the U.S. into war with Iran, which presents a much tougher opponent.
Trump, who has repeatedly threatened to strike Iran if it doesn’t agree to limits on its nuclear program, reiterated on Friday that Tehran “better negotiate a fair deal.” The U.S. targeted Iranian nuclear sites in June, and Tehran has vowed fierce retaliation if attacked again.
Trump was reelected in 2024 largely on his “America First” platform, focusing on reducing inflation and avoiding costly foreign conflicts. Yet, polls show he’s struggling to convince Americans that he’s making progress on lowering high prices.
Supporters like Republican strategist Lauren Cooley believe Trump’s supporters might back military action against Iran if it is swift and limited.
“The White House needs to clearly link any military moves to protecting American security and economic stability at home,” she said.
Nonetheless, with little public appetite for another foreign war and Trump’s ongoing focus on economic issues, any escalation with Iran remains a gamble, especially as Trump recently admitted to Reuters that his party might face difficulties in the midterms.
Diverse Rationales for War
Foreign policy has historically played a minor role in midterm elections.
Having deployed a substantial force of aircraft carriers, warships, and aircraft to the Middle East, Trump might have limited options but to act unless Iran makes significant concessions—a move Iran has shown little willingness to pursue. Otherwise, Trump risks appearing weak on the international stage.
His reasons for potential military action have been inconsistent and vague. Initially, he threatened strikes in January in response to Iran’s violent crackdown on protests but later withdrew those threats. More recently, he tied potential military action to Iran’s nuclear program and floated the idea of regime change, though he and his officials have not clarified how airstrikes could achieve that.
A second White House official emphasized Trump’s preference for diplomacy, stating, “He has always wanted Iran to make a deal before it’s too late.” The official added that the president insists Iran “must not have nuclear weapons or the capacity to produce them, and must not enrich uranium.”
This lack of clarity contrasts sharply with President George W. Bush’s publicly stated justification for invading Iraq in 2003, which focused on eliminating weapons of mass destruction. Although that mission was based on faulty intel and false claims, Bush’s initial war goals were unambiguous.
Political strategist Godfrey pointed out that independent voters—crucial in tight races—will scrutinize Trump’s handling of Iran.
“Midterm voters and his base are watching closely to see how the president makes his case,” he said.
PM Shehbaz and other global leaders attend Trump’s Peace Committee meeting.
Trump praises PM Shehbaz and CDF Asim Munir at the opening session.
On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that a total of $7 billion has been pledged to a Gaza reconstruction fund aimed at rebuilding the region.
During a lengthy speech, Trump revealed that the U.S. will contribute $10 billion to the Peace Board, with nations involved having initially raised $7 billion for Gaza’s rebuilding efforts.
PM Shehbaz Sharif participated in the first meeting of Trump’s Peace Board held in Washington, D.C., alongside other international leaders.
Trump initially proposed the board last September as part of his plan to bring an end to Israel’s conflict in Gaza. He has since indicated that the board’s scope will extend beyond Gaza to address conflicts worldwide.
U.S President Donald Trump is pictured with world leaders at the inaugural Board of Peace session at the US Institute of Peace, Washington, DC, February 19, 2026. — Reuters
Addressing the crowd, Trump stated that over $7 billion has already been contributed by various countries to help Gaza following the creation of his Peace Board.
“I’m happy to report that Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, the UAE, Morocco, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Uzbekistan, and Kuwait have collectively pledged over $7 billion for relief efforts,” Trump said during the first session in Washington.
He assured that there will be no need for troops to participate in Gaza’s rebuilding.
Trump also mentioned that FIFA will raise $75 million for soccer development in Gaza, while the United Nations will add $2 billion for humanitarian aid.
PM Shehbaz described his attendance at the inaugural meeting as an honor and reiterated Pakistan’s support for a sustainable peace process in Gaza.
He called the efforts a “historic milestone” for Middle East peace initiatives, expressing hope that the initiative would foster long-term stability in the troubled region.
Shehbaz credited Trump’s timely involvement for preventing a large-scale conflict between Pakistan and India, noting that the ceasefire saved countless lives and avoided extensive destruction in South Asia.
The prime minister emphasized that establishing an independent Palestinian state is essential for lasting peace in the Middle East, reaffirming Pakistan’s backing for a fair resolution rooted in international law.
“Ending ceasefire breaches is critical to long-term peace in Gaza,” he added. He also offered prayers for the success of the Peace Board and hopes it will positively influence peace prospects in Gaza and beyond.
Trump praises PM Shehbaz and Gen. Munir
During the first session of the Peace Board in Washington, Trump also praised PM Shehbaz and the Chief of Defence Forces, Field Marshal Asim Munir, calling him a “tough fighter.”
He expressed his personal affinity for PM Shehbaz, saying, “I like this Pakistani leader.” Trump recounted that during last year’s conflict between Pakistan and India, he knew both PM Shehbaz and Field Marshal Munir and credited the ceasefire with saving millions of lives.
Trump reaffirmed his role in helping to de-escalate the Pakistan-India military confrontation, which had been triggered by a terrorist attack in Pahalgam, Kashmir, leading to retaliatory actions from both sides, including the downing of Indian fighter jets and several drones. The conflict was eventually halted with US-brokered ceasefire agreements after over 87 hours of hostilities.
He praised Gen. Munir’s professionalism, calling him a “tough and capable fighter.”
Trump also mentioned that he heard many planes were shot down amid the hostilities, estimating that a total of 11 expensive aircraft were lost during that exchange.
On Iran’s Nuclear Deal
The Peace Board includes Israel but excludes Palestinian representatives, which has prompted concerns that its broad initiative might bypass the UN’s traditional diplomatic channels. Trump stated that the goal is to strengthen the United Nations, emphasizing its importance.
Amidst rising tensions with Iran, Trump indicated that he expects to know within 10 days whether a nuclear agreement is feasible, stressing that any deal must be “meaningful.”
He added that disarming Hamas through force might be unnecessary, as the group has promised to disarm and appears to be moving toward that outcome—though verification remains to be seen.
Hamas spokesperson Hazem Qassem emphasized that any international peacekeeping force should monitor the ceasefire and prevent Israeli aggression, without expressly committing to disarmament.
Sources in Pakistan disclosed that Islamabad wants official guarantees from Washington before deploying troops to Gaza as part of the international peacekeeping force, ensuring it’s a purely peacekeeping effort and not aimed at disarming Hamas.
During his visit, PM Shehbaz sought clarification regarding the mission’s objectives, chain of command, and scope before agreeing to send personnel.
“We are prepared to send troops, but only as part of a peacekeeping mission in Gaza,” a close aide of Shehbaz stated. “Disarming Hamas is entirely out of the question.”
Pakistan’s Foreign Office reaffirmed its commitment to international efforts for peace and stability in Gaza, supporting the UN’s resolutions and advocating for a constructive role aligned with global diplomacy.
Trump launched the Peace Board at the World Economic Forum in Davos, with PM Shehbaz among the signatories supporting a lasting resolution for Gaza.
Peacekeeping and Reconstruction
Trump’s 20-point plan envisions a force comprised of Muslim nations to oversee Gaza’s reconstruction and economic renewal, with Washington urging Islamabad to participate.
Experts believe Pakistan’s military experience in conflicts with India and internal insurgencies makes it well-suited for the mission, initially capable of deploying a few thousand troops.
During a recent visit, leaders discussed the possibility of Shehbaz meeting Trump either on the sidelines of this session or during a future visit to the White House to review the mission’s details.
Although originally aimed at cementing a ceasefire, Trump envisions the board playing a broader international role in conflict resolution, sparking some concerns about its potential overlap or rivalry with the United Nations. Pakistan supports the initiative but remains cautious about its stance on Hamas’s disarmament practices.
The first day of negotiations among Ukraine, Russia, and the United States wrapped up Wednesday in Abu Dhabi, with Kyiv describing the talks as “meaningful and productive.” Although no major breakthroughs were achieved during this session, Kyiv indicated discussions will continue into a second day.
This US-facilitated dialogue is part of a surge of diplomatic efforts that have yet to produce an agreement to put an end to the conflict initiated by Russia’s invasion in February 2022. The war has become Europe’s deadliest since World War II, resulting in hundreds of thousands of deaths, millions displaced within Ukraine, and significant destruction across much of the eastern and southern regions.
Amid ongoing negotiations, Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power infrastructure intensified, leaving residents in Kyiv in darkness and cold, with temperatures plummeting to -20°C. Despite these hardships, Ukraine’s top negotiator, Rustem Umerov, assured that the initial day of talks was “substantive and productive,” focusing on specific measures and practical solutions.
As discussions commenced, the Kremlin reiterated its steadfast position, insisting Kyiv must capitulate if it expects the four-year-long invasion to end. “Our stance is well known,” said Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov on Wednesday. “Until the Kyiv regime makes the appropriate decisions, the special military operation will continue,” he added, referencing Russia’s term for its military actions.
In Kyiv, Foreign Minister spokesperson Georgiy Tykhy stated Ukraine is “keen to understand the true intentions of the Russians and Americans.” The discussions primarily concern “military and military-political issues,” although specifics were not provided.
A key obstacle remains the future status of eastern Ukraine. Moscow demands that Kyiv withdraw its troops from the Donbas area, including heavily fortified cities rich in natural resources, as a prerequisite for any deal. Russia also seeks international acknowledgment that territories seized during the invasion belong to Russia. Conversely, Kyiv insists the conflict should be frozen along the current frontline and opposes unilateral withdrawals.
Former President Trump sent his familiar envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner to press for an agreement. Russia’s lead negotiator is Igor Kostyukov, director of military intelligence and a retired naval officer who has been sanctioned by the West due to his role in the invasion.
Europe feels sidelined from the negotiations, even as France and Britain advocate for forming a peacekeeping force to potentially deploy in Ukraine following any peace deal. The EU’s ambassador to Ukraine, Katarina Mathernova, emphasized the importance of Europe participating in the negotiations as a strategic objective.
Russia currently occupies about 20% of Ukraine, but Kyiv retains control over roughly 20% of the Donetsk region. Ukraine warns that ceding territory could embolden Moscow, stressing that any agreement must effectively deter future invasions. Russia also claims control over the regions of Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, with pockets of territory in at least three other eastern Ukrainian regions.
On the battlefield, Russia continues to make gains at a significant human cost, aiming to outlast Ukraine’s overstretched military. Recent Russian artillery shelling in Druzhkivka killed seven civilians, according to Ukrainian officials.
Following the first round of US-mediated talks last month, many Ukrainians remain skeptical about reaching an agreement with Moscow. Petro, a Kyiv resident, remarked, “I think it’s mostly for show. We need to prepare for the worst and hope for the best.” Meanwhile, in Moscow, some are more optimistic. Larisa, a retiree with family in Ukraine and relatives fighting on the front lines, said, “Everyone hopes this will end one day. We’ve had enough.” Anton, a 43-year-old engineer, added, “It has to stop eventually.”
Libya’s Saif al-Islam Gaddafi, son of the late leader Muammar Gaddafi, was seen attending a court hearing behind bars in Zintan on May 25, 2014. — Reuters
Sources close to his family, along with his lawyer Khaled el-Zaydi and local media, reported that Saif al-Islam has been killed. The exact details surrounding his death remain unclear at this time.
Once regarded as the most influential figure in Libya despite lacking an official government role, Saif al-Islam rose to prominence as the heir apparent to his autocratic father, Muammar Gaddafi, who ruled Libya for over forty years. He played a key role in shaping national policy, mediating delicate diplomatic negotiations, and leading talks on Libya’s disarmament and compensation for the victims of the 1988 Lockerbie bombing in Scotland.
Eager to improve Libya’s international image, Saif promoted reforms, championed the drafting of a new constitution, and advocated for human rights and respect for the rule of law. Educated at the London School of Economics and fluent in English, he was often seen as the more Western-friendly face of Libya, gaining favor among some governments.
However, during the 2011 uprising that ousted Gaddafi, Saif chose loyalty to his family and tribal roots over his previous alliances. He became a leading figure in a brutal crackdown on rebels—whom he labeled “rats”—warning of a bloodbath and asserting that Libya would require decades to recover. In an interview with Reuters during this period, he declared, “We fight here in Libya, we die here in Libya,” and warned of destruction if the conflict continued.
Following the fall of Tripoli, Saif attempted to escape disguised as a Bedouin on a desert road. He was captured by the Abu Bakr Sadik Brigade militia and taken to Zintan about a month after his father was killed by rebels. In an audio recording, he stated, “I’m staying here. They’ll shoot me the moment I step outside,” expressing his belief that escape was futile.
His years of captivity in Zintan starkly contrasted with his previous privileged lifestyle under Gaddafi, which included pet tigers and hunting trips with falcons, as well as social visits to London. Rights groups noted he was held mostly in solitary confinement, missing a tooth, and had little contact with the outside world, though he had access to television and some books.
In 2015, a Libyan court sentenced Saif al-Islam to death by firing squad for war crimes. He is also wanted by the International Criminal Court at The Hague on charges of murder and persecution, with an arrest warrant issued against him.
After being released in 2017 under an amnesty law, Saif kept a low profile in Zintan to avoid assassination attempts. From 2016 onward, he maintained communication with supporters inside and outside Libya, engaging in political discussions and receiving visitors regularly. He even appeared in Sabha in 2021 to formally announce his candidacy for the presidential election, hoping to capitalize on nostalgia for Libya’s pre-2011 stability.
His bid was controversial and faced opposition from factions that suffered under his father’s regime, including armed groups that reject his candidacy outright. As the election process stalled late in 2021, disputes over his participation contributed to the political impasse. His disqualification after a 2015 conviction, and subsequent attempts to appeal the ruling, were thwarted by armed resistance, leading to the collapse of the electoral efforts and a return to political deadlock.
In a 2021 interview with The New York Times Magazine, Saif described his political approach as gradual and manipulative, saying, “You need to come back slowly, slowly. Like a striptease. You need to play with their minds a little.”
